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Mar 22, 2020 19:49
4 yrs ago
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English term

duration rallied

English Bus/Financial Finance (general) Fixed Income
Credit spreads widened but outright corporate returns were positive, carried by government bonds as ***duration rallied*** on safe-haven flows and partially on the expectation of further central bank easing.

Thank you!

Discussion

philgoddard Mar 22, 2020:
Up or down? Down. The shorter the duration, the quicker you get your money back.
Laura Vinti (asker) Mar 22, 2020:
Thanks for the link -- it seems that often people use the same work but mean different things.
"The dual use of the word "duration", as both the weighted average time until repayment and as the percentage change in price, often causes confusion. Strictly speaking, Macaulay duration is the name given to the weighted average time until cash flows are received, and is measured in years. Modified duration is the name given to the price sensitivity and is the percentage change in price for a unit change in yield.
Both measures are termed "duration" and have the same (or close to the same) numerical value, but it is important to keep in mind the conceptual distinctions between them." (from Wikipedia)
Laura Vinti (asker) Mar 22, 2020:
Yes, I am translating into Italian ...but I still need to understand what it means. What does it really mean that the "duration improved"? Did it go up? Down?
I also wonder if fund managers really mean "modified duration" when they talk about duration.
Thank you!
philgoddard Mar 22, 2020:
Are you translating into Italian? If so, Italian uses the English word, duration, so you don't need to know what it means - though you could always look it up if you're interested. Rallied means improved, as Lydia says.

Responses

8 mins

duration improved//recovered

my take
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10 hrs

duration recovered

There different kinds of duration; Macaulay duration, effective (modified) duration, dollar duration, key rate duration. Also convexity is related to duration. Although the Macaulay duration comes to mind fist, effective duration is more useful I think. It measures the sensitivity of the price of fixed-income securities to the interest changes. Here, I Think, effective duration is referred.

Source: Bond Market Analysis, and Strategies, Frank J. Fabozzi
You can also check Investments, Bodie, Cane, Marcus (it is very famous)
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1 day 2 hrs

prices of longer term government (treasury) bonds rose

When there is a lot of uncertainty, investors would buy longer term government (treasury) bonds, because it is a "safe haven", causing their prices to rise.
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